Die Wettquotenschule

Lorenzo Musetti v Valentin Vacherot

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-08 16:03 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Heim)

Prognose 69.66%1.44faire Quote
EV +5.88%
Vorteil +3.87%
Kelly +11.31%
Wachstum +0.665%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.19%69.29%69.99%74.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.251.381.351.5280.00%72.64%74.07%65.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.34%3.30faire Quote
EV +10.75%
Vorteil +2.94%
Kelly +4.06%
Wachstum +0.436%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.77%30.71%30.01%37.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.503.003.053.6540.00%33.30%32.79%27.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +5.88%E +3.87%K +11.31%G +0.665%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -16.26%E -5.89%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 16:01
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 15:57
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +4.49%E +2.99%K +8.98%G +0.403%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -16.86%E -6.15%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 15:57
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:35
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +3.09%E +2.09%K +6.45%G +0.200%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -24.15%E -9.66%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:35
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 15:33
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 15:34
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -17.47%E -6.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:35
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +2.40%E +1.63%K +5.10%G +0.122%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -19.60%E -7.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:53
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +1.70%E +1.17%K +3.70%G +0.063%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 15:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:34
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:55
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV +0.308%E +0.214%K +0.701%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -21.11%E -8.12%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 15:35
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -14.74%E -5.25%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -0.388%E -0.271%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -18.08%E -6.70%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:35
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:00
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:01
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -16.56%E -6.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 16:01
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:00
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 16:00
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.49%E -3.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:00
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.64%E +0.491%K +0.699%G +0.011%5.0%2026-04-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:00
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:00
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +6.19%E +1.77%K +2.48%G +0.154%4.9%2026-04-08 16:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:00
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.75%E -6.68%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.127%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 16:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:00
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.39%E -0.428%K -0.618%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 16:00
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.91%E -0.909%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 16:01
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.14%E -7.86%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 16:00
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -10.84%E -8.47%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +10.75%E +2.94%K +4.06%G +0.436%5.5%2026-04-08 16:01
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -12.93%E -10.34%K -51.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +9.23%E +2.56%K +3.55%G +0.328%7.8%2026-04-08 16:01
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-08 16:00
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-08 16:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-04-08 16:00
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-08 16:01
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-04-08 16:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%6.1%2026-04-08 16:00