默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hubert Hurkacz v Luciano Darderi

开赛时间: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hubert Hurkacz (主队)

预测 31.45%3.18公平赔率
EV +3.79%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.65%
增长率 +0.063%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.94%31.33%31.64%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.982.983.3035.71%33.60%33.61%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

Luciano Darderi (客队)

预测 68.55%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.66%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -6.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
66.67%68.67%68.36%71.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.00%71.43%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hubert Hurkacz (主队):31.45%;Luciano Darderi (客队):68.55%。 对于“Hubert Hurkacz (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.18。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.30,对应+3.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.79%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 08:39
SportsBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +3.48%E +1.06%K +1.52%G +0.053%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 08:40
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.22%E +0.684%K +0.988%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 08:40
Pinnacle🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +1.59%E +0.493%K +0.714%G +0.011%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 08:55
DraftKings🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.24%E -0.394%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:40
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:50
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:40
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 08:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:54
GTbets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:40
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:50
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:37
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:45
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:15
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 08:54
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 07:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 08:40
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 08:40
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:01
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:00
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 08:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:01
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:01
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 08:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 07:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-04-07 08:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Novig3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%2.6%2026-04-07 08:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%2.7%2026-04-07 08:55