Lingua:Italiano
Hubert Hurkacz v Luciano Darderi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Hubert Hurkacz (Casa)
Previsione 31.45%3.18quota equa
EV +3.79%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescita +0.063%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.94%31.33%31.64%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.982.983.3035.71%33.60%33.61%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Trasferta)
Previsione 68.55%1.46quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -6.34%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%68.67%68.36%71.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.00%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hubert Hurkacz (Casa): 31.45%; Luciano Darderi (Trasferta): 68.55%. Per Hubert Hurkacz (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.18. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.79%.
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.79%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +3.48%E +1.06%K +1.52%G +0.053% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.22%E +0.684%K +0.988%G +0.022% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +1.59%E +0.493%K +0.714%G +0.011% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.24%E -0.394%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |