La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Hubert Hurkacz v Luciano Darderi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Hubert Hurkacz (Casa)
Previsione 31.45%3.18quota equa
EV +3.79%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescita +0.063%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.94%31.33%31.64%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.982.983.3035.71%33.60%33.61%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Luciano Darderi (Trasferta)
Previsione 68.55%1.46quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -6.34%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%68.67%68.36%71.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.00%71.43%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.79%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +3.48%E +1.06%K +1.52%G +0.053% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.22%E +0.684%K +0.988%G +0.022% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +1.59%E +0.493%K +0.714%G +0.011% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.24%E -0.394%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| GTbets | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| ReBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Novig | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |