La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hubert Hurkacz v Luciano Darderi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Predicción 31.45%3.18momio equitativo
EV +3.79%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.063%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.94%31.33%31.64%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.982.983.3035.71%33.60%33.61%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Predicción 68.55%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -6.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%68.67%68.36%71.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.00%71.43%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.79%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +3.48%E +1.06%K +1.52%G +0.053% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.22%E +0.684%K +0.988%G +0.022% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +1.59%E +0.493%K +0.714%G +0.011% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.24%E -0.394%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| GTbets | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| ReBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 08:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 08:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Novig | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |