مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hubert Hurkacz v Luciano Darderi

البداية: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.45%3.18السعر العادل
EV +3.79%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.65%
النمو +0.063%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.94%31.33%31.64%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.982.983.3035.71%33.60%33.61%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luciano Darderi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.55%1.46السعر العادل
EV -2.66%
الأفضلية -1.88%
Kelly -6.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.67%68.67%68.36%71.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.00%71.43%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +3.79%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 08:39
SportsBet3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +3.48%E +1.06%K +1.52%G +0.053%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 08:40
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.22%E +0.684%K +0.988%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 08:40
Pinnacle3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +1.59%E +0.493%K +0.714%G +0.011%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 08:55
DraftKings3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.24%E -0.394%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:15
LowVig.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:40
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.18%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:40
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 08:50
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 08:40
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:54
GTbets3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:40
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:50
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:37
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:45
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 08:15
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 08:54
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:50
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:40
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 08:40
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 08:40
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:01
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:10
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 07:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 08:15
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:01
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:01
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:01
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.66%E -1.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 08:39
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -6.09%E -4.45%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 08:55
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 07:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 07:00
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 07:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-04-07 08:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Novig3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%2.6%2026-04-07 08:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%2.7%2026-04-07 08:55