A Escola das Odds

Fabian Marozsan v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Local)

Previsão 55.20%1.81odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.667%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%55.24%55.24%57.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.7961.73%58.15%58.14%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 44.80%2.23odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.653%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.97%44.76%44.76%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.112.2050.00%47.43%47.39%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.19%E -0.667%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 16:15
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:14
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 16:11
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:14
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 16:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:14
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:14
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 16:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.71%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 16:14
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.27%E -4.32%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-08 16:15
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-08 16:15