مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fabian Marozsan v Hubert Hurkacz

البداية: 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.20%1.81السعر العادل
EV -1.19%
الأفضلية -0.667%
Kelly -1.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.05%55.24%55.24%57.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.721.721.7961.73%58.15%58.14%55.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.80%2.23السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.653%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.97%44.76%44.76%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.112.2050.00%47.43%47.39%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.19%E -0.667%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 16:15
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:14
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 16:11
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:14
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 16:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:14
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:14
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 16:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.71%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 16:14
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.27%E -4.32%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-08 16:15
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-08 16:15