La scuola delle quote

Fabian Marozsan v Hubert Hurkacz

Inizio: 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Casa)

Previsione 55.20%1.81quota equa
EV -1.19%
Vantaggio -0.667%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%55.24%55.24%57.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.721.721.7961.73%58.15%58.14%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.80%2.23quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.653%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.97%44.76%44.76%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.112.112.2050.00%47.43%47.39%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.19%E -0.667%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 16:15
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:14
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 16:11
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:14
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 16:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 16:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:14
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:14
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 16:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.71%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 16:14
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.27%E -4.32%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 16:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-08 16:15
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-08 16:15