La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fabian Marozsan v Hubert Hurkacz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Predicción 55.20%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.667%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.24%55.24%57.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.721.7961.73%58.15%58.14%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)
Predicción 44.80%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.97%44.76%44.76%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.112.2050.00%47.43%47.39%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.19%E -0.667%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 16:11 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.71%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.27%E -4.32%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |