Langue:Français
Fabian Marozsan v Hubert Hurkacz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Prévision 55.20%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.667%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.24%55.24%57.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.721.7961.73%58.15%58.14%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.80%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.653%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.97%44.76%44.76%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.112.2050.00%47.43%47.39%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fabian Marozsan (Local) : 55.20% ; Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur) : 44.80%. Pour Fabian Marozsan (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.81. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.79, pour une espérance de -1.19% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.19%E -0.667%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.75%E -0.981%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.05%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 16:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.40%E -1.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.95%E -2.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.16%E -3.62%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.71%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.27%E -4.32%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.44%E -0.653%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 16:15 |