Szkoła Kursów

Denis Shapovalov v Alexander Blockx

Początek: 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

43 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.93%1.61kurs godziwy
EV +5.28%
Przewaga +3.10%
Kelly +7.54%
Wzrost +0.398%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.26%61.55%61.80%67.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.551.541.7069.44%64.43%64.94%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Blockx (Goście)

Prognoza 38.07%2.63kurs godziwy
EV +12.70%
Przewaga +4.29%
Kelly +6.48%
Wzrost +0.823%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.96

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.73%38.45%38.20%44.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.392.402.9648.78%41.82%41.67%33.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (43 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV +12.70%E +4.29%K +6.48%G +0.823%3.2%2026-04-06 14:50
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.70%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.126%5.3%2026-04-06 14:49
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.80%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046%6.5%2026-04-06 14:35
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-06 14:43
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005%6.7%2026-04-06 14:50
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.153%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:49
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:49
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 14:47
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -3.67%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 14:50
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 14:49
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:50
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 14:49
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.77%E -4.12%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:50
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 14:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 14:48
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -16.24%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 14:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 14:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +4.66%E +2.76%K +6.75%G +0.314%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 14:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -18.52%E -8.66%K -16.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +5.28%E +3.10%K +7.54%G +0.398%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:50
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -0.917%E -0.573%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-04-06 14:50
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-04-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%4.9%2026-04-06 14:50
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%6.4%2026-04-06 14:50
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86%9.8%2026-04-06 14:49