La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Denis Shapovalov v Alexander Blockx
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Denis Shapovalov (Casa)
Previsione 61.93%1.61quota equa
EV +5.28%
Vantaggio +3.10%
Kelly +7.54%
Crescita +0.398%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.26%61.55%61.80%67.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.551.541.7069.44%64.43%64.94%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexander Blockx (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.07%2.63quota equa
EV +12.70%
Vantaggio +4.29%
Kelly +6.48%
Crescita +0.823%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.96
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.73%38.45%38.20%44.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.392.402.9648.78%41.82%41.67%33.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV +12.70%E +4.29%K +6.48%G +0.823% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.70%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.126% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.80%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 14:43 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 14:47 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -3.67%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.77%E -4.12%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 14:48 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -16.24%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +4.66%E +2.76%K +6.75%G +0.314% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -18.52%E -8.66%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +5.28%E +3.10%K +7.54%G +0.398% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -0.917%E -0.573%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |