La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Denis Shapovalov v Alexander Blockx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Predicción 61.93%1.61momio equitativo
EV +5.28%
Ventaja +3.10%
Kelly +7.54%
Crecimiento +0.398%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%61.55%61.80%67.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.551.541.7069.44%64.43%64.94%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Blockx (Visitante)
Predicción 38.07%2.63momio equitativo
EV +12.70%
Ventaja +4.29%
Kelly +6.48%
Crecimiento +0.823%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.73%38.45%38.20%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.392.402.9648.78%41.82%41.67%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV +12.70%E +4.29%K +6.48%G +0.823% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.70%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.126% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.80%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 14:43 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 14:47 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -3.67%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.77%E -4.12%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 14:48 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -16.24%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +4.66%E +2.76%K +6.75%G +0.314% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -18.52%E -8.66%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +5.28%E +3.10%K +7.54%G +0.398% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -0.917%E -0.573%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |