L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Denis Shapovalov v Alexander Blockx
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Prévision 61.93%1.61cote équitable
EV +5.28%
Avantage +3.10%
Kelly +7.54%
Croissance +0.398%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%61.55%61.80%67.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.541.7069.44%64.43%64.94%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.07%2.63cote équitable
EV +12.70%
Avantage +4.29%
Kelly +6.48%
Croissance +0.823%
avec la cote maximale 2.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.73%38.45%38.20%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.392.402.9648.78%41.82%41.67%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV +12.70%E +4.29%K +6.48%G +0.823% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.70%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.126% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.80%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 14:43 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +0.894%E +0.337%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 14:47 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -3.67%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.77%E -4.12%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -14.34%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 14:48 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -16.24%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +4.04%E +2.40%K +5.94%G +0.240% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +4.66%E +2.76%K +6.75%G +0.314% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -18.52%E -8.66%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +5.28%E +3.10%K +7.54%G +0.398% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +3.42%E +2.05%K +5.10%G +0.174% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -20.05%E -9.55%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV +2.80%E +1.69%K +4.24%G +0.119% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -0.917%E -0.573%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -21.95%E -10.71%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |