The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Matchstart: 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 92.99%1.08rättvist odds
EV -3.29%
Fördel -3.16%
Kelly -82.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.73%92.82%92.79%95.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.011.021.031.0499.01%97.65%97.09%96.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Borta)

Prognos 7.01%14.27rättvist odds
EV +42.30%
Fördel +2.08%
Kelly +2.19%
Tillväxt +0.927%

med antagandet om högsta odds 20.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.83%7.18%7.21%10.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
9.0013.2813.0020.3111.11%7.53%7.69%4.92%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 95.17%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%20.31I 4.92%NM 4.83%EV +42.30%E +2.08%K +2.19%G +0.927%2.0%2026-04-09 13:10
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +26.12%E +1.45%K +1.54%G +0.401%3.6%2026-04-09 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228%3.0%2026-04-09 13:40
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228%3.0%2026-04-09 13:40
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228%3.9%2026-04-09 13:30
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228%4.9%2026-04-09 13:40
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228%4.9%2026-04-09 13:30
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.97%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000%16.20I 6.17%NM 6.03%EV +13.51%E +0.834%K +0.889%G +0.120%2.3%2026-04-09 13:40
LowVig.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098%4.3%2026-04-09 13:10
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098%4.3%2026-04-09 13:10
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098%5.3%2026-04-09 13:07
BetAnything1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV +8.25%E +0.534%K +0.571%G +0.047%4.5%2026-04-09 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%3.8%2026-04-09 13:10
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%3.8%2026-04-09 13:34
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%3.8%2026-04-09 13:38
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%3.8%2026-04-09 13:09
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%5.7%2026-04-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019%5.7%2026-04-09 13:10
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +3.70%E +0.250%K +0.268%G +0.010%4.8%2026-04-09 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 13:40
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 13:35
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 13:29
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 13:40
ReBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 13:29
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 13:30
PlayUp1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 13:35
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 13:40
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 13:40
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 13:40
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.42%E -0.993%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 13:10
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 92.31%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.36I 8.09%NM 7.69%EV -13.40%E -1.08%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 13:30
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 13:40
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:40
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:40
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:40
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:40
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:40
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 13:39
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 13:30
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 13:30
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 13:10
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 13:10
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 13:10
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 13:10
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 13:35
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 13:35
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 13:35
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 13:35
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 13:09
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 13:30
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 13:40
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 13:10
Bet Victor1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.94%E -4.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 13:38
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-09 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-04-09 13:40
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-04-09 13:40
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-04-09 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-04-09 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-04-09 13:40
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 95.38%21.28I 4.70%NM 4.62%1.8%2026-04-09 13:40