La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 92.99%1.08quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -3.16%
Kelly -82.17%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.73%92.82%92.79%95.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.021.031.0499.01%97.65%97.09%96.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta)
Previsione 7.01%14.27quota equa
EV +42.30%
Vantaggio +2.08%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescita +0.927%
ipotizzando la quota massima 20.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.83%7.18%7.21%10.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0013.2813.0020.3111.11%7.53%7.69%4.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.17%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 20.31I 4.92%NM 4.83%EV +42.30%E +2.08%K +2.19%G +0.927% | 2.0% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +26.12%E +1.45%K +1.54%G +0.401% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.97%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 16.20I 6.17%NM 6.03%EV +13.51%E +0.834%K +0.889%G +0.120% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Bovada | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 13:07 |
| BetAnything | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV +8.25%E +0.534%K +0.571%G +0.047% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:38 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:09 |
| Neds | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +3.70%E +0.250%K +0.268%G +0.010% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 13:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| ReBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| 888sport | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.42%E -0.993%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| GTbets | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.31%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.69%EV -13.40%E -1.08%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Unibet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| TAB | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| William Hill | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Caesars | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 13:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.94%E -4.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 13:38 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Novig | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.38% | 21.28I 4.70%NM 4.62% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |