Langue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 92.99%1.08cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -3.16%
Kelly -82.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.73%92.82%92.79%95.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.021.031.0499.01%97.65%97.09%96.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.01%14.27cote équitable
EV +42.30%
Avantage +2.08%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.927%
avec la cote maximale 20.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.83%7.18%7.21%10.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0013.2813.0020.3111.11%7.53%7.69%4.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Carlos Alcaraz (Local) : 92.99% ; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur) : 7.01%. Pour Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 14.27. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 20.31, soit une espérance positive de +42.30%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.17%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 20.31I 4.92%NM 4.83%EV +42.30%E +2.08%K +2.19%G +0.927% | 2.0% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +26.12%E +1.45%K +1.54%G +0.401% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.11%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.228% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.97%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 16.20I 6.17%NM 6.03%EV +13.51%E +0.834%K +0.889%G +0.120% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +12.11%E +0.757%K +0.807%G +0.098% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 13:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV +8.25%E +0.534%K +0.571%G +0.047% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.10%E +0.340%K +0.364%G +0.019% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +3.70%E +0.250%K +0.268%G +0.010% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.91%E -0.136%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 13:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.91%E -0.686%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.42%E -0.993%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.31%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.69%EV -13.40%E -1.08%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 13:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.92%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.29%E -3.16%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.93%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -26.43%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.15%E -5.05%K -257.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.08%E -6.02%K -607.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -29.93%E -2.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.22%E -4.09%K -140.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.94%E -4.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 13:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.38% | 21.28I 4.70%NM 4.62% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |