Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 75.28%1.33fair odd
EV -0.624%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%75.14%75.12%79.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.251.251.3284.75%80.16%80.00%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nuno Borges (Visit)
Prediction 24.72%4.05fair odd
EV +13.69%
Edge +2.98%
Kelly +3.80%
Growth +0.521%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%24.86%24.88%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.873.804.6031.25%25.81%26.32%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 75.28%; Nuno Borges (Visit): 24.72%. For Nuno Borges (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -11.16%E -9.46%K -62.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 09:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +11.22%E +2.49%K +3.21%G +0.360% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.05%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.95%EV +10.73%E +2.39%K +3.08%G +0.331% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 09:07 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +8.01%E +1.83%K +2.38%G +0.190% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +7.27%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.158% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.28%E +1.46%K +1.90%G +0.119% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 08:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 09:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 08:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -10.41%E -8.75%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 07:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 09:13 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV -2.13%E -0.537%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 09:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -0.624%E -0.473%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -20.91%E -6.53%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |