مدرسة الاحتمالات

Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges

البداية: 2026-04-06 09:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Andrey Rublev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.28%1.33السعر العادل
EV -0.624%
الأفضلية -0.473%
Kelly -1.95%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.80%75.14%75.12%79.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.251.251.3284.75%80.16%80.00%75.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nuno Borges (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.72%4.05السعر العادل
EV +13.69%
الأفضلية +2.98%
Kelly +3.80%
النمو +0.521%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.42%24.86%24.88%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.873.804.6031.25%25.81%26.32%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521%5.1%2026-04-06 08:20
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -11.16%E -9.46%K -62.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521%6.5%2026-04-06 09:07
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +11.22%E +2.49%K +3.21%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-06 09:00
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.05%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.95%EV +10.73%E +2.39%K +3.08%G +0.331%1.7%2026-04-06 09:07
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +8.01%E +1.83%K +2.38%G +0.190%4.9%2026-04-06 09:15
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +7.27%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.158%4.3%2026-04-06 08:50
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.28%E +1.46%K +1.90%G +0.119%5.2%2026-04-06 08:24
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%5.1%2026-04-06 09:08
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%5.1%2026-04-06 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%5.8%2026-04-06 08:50
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -10.41%E -8.75%K -54.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%7.8%2026-04-06 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025%4.0%2026-04-06 07:30
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025%4.0%2026-04-06 07:30
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006%6.4%2026-04-06 09:13
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:15
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:15
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 08:05
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 08:20
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:13
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 08:35
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV -2.13%E -0.537%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:15
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:15
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 08:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 08:20
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 09:13
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 09:15
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:15
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:15
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:15
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 09:15
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 09:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:14
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 09:15
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -0.624%E -0.473%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -20.91%E -6.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-06 09:15
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.5%2026-04-06 09:15