La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 75.28%1.33momio equitativo
EV -0.624%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.80%75.14%75.12%79.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.251.251.3284.75%80.16%80.00%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nuno Borges (Visitante)
Predicción 24.72%4.05momio equitativo
EV +13.69%
Ventaja +2.98%
Kelly +3.80%
Crecimiento +0.521%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.42%24.86%24.88%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.873.804.6031.25%25.81%26.32%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -11.16%E -9.46%K -62.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 09:07 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +11.22%E +2.49%K +3.21%G +0.360% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.05%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.95%EV +10.73%E +2.39%K +3.08%G +0.331% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 09:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +8.01%E +1.83%K +2.38%G +0.190% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +7.27%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.158% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 08:50 |
| ReBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.28%E +1.46%K +1.90%G +0.119% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 08:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 09:08 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 08:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -10.41%E -8.75%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 07:30 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 09:13 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 08:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:13 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 08:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV -2.13%E -0.537%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Fliff | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 09:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 09:14 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -0.624%E -0.473%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -20.91%E -6.53%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Novig | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |