La scuola delle quote

Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges

Inizio: 2026-04-06 09:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 75.28%1.33quota equa
EV -0.624%
Vantaggio -0.473%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.80%75.14%75.12%79.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.251.251.3284.75%80.16%80.00%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nuno Borges (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.72%4.05quota equa
EV +13.69%
Vantaggio +2.98%
Kelly +3.80%
Crescita +0.521%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.42%24.86%24.88%29.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.873.804.6031.25%25.81%26.32%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521%5.1%2026-04-06 08:20
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -11.16%E -9.46%K -62.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +13.69%E +2.98%K +3.80%G +0.521%6.5%2026-04-06 09:07
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +11.22%E +2.49%K +3.21%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-06 09:00
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.05%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.95%EV +10.73%E +2.39%K +3.08%G +0.331%1.7%2026-04-06 09:07
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +8.01%E +1.83%K +2.38%G +0.190%4.9%2026-04-06 09:15
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +7.27%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.158%4.3%2026-04-06 08:50
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.28%E +1.46%K +1.90%G +0.119%5.2%2026-04-06 08:24
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%5.1%2026-04-06 09:08
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%5.1%2026-04-06 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%5.8%2026-04-06 08:50
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -10.41%E -8.75%K -54.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%7.8%2026-04-06 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025%4.0%2026-04-06 07:30
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.82%E +0.677%K +0.891%G +0.025%4.0%2026-04-06 07:30
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006%6.4%2026-04-06 09:13
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:15
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:15
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 08:05
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 08:20
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:13
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 08:35
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV -2.13%E -0.537%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:15
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:15
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 08:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 08:20
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.91%E -7.36%K -42.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 09:13
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.64%E -2.84%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.40%E -6.02%K -32.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 09:15
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:15
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:15
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.39%E -3.46%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:15
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.89%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 09:15
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.88%E -2.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 09:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.38%E -1.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:14
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 09:15
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -0.624%E -0.473%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -20.91%E -6.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-06 09:15
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.5%2026-04-06 09:15