默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 11:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev (主队)

预测 19.05%5.25公平赔率
EV +4.78%
优势 +0.870%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.051%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.29%19.12%18.96%21.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.975.005.5022.73%20.14%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jannik Sinner (客队)

预测 80.95%1.24公平赔率
EV -3.67%
优势 -3.09%
Kelly -19.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
78.99%80.88%81.04%82.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.54%85.47%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alexander Zverev (主队):19.05%;Jannik Sinner (客队):80.95%。 对于“Alexander Zverev (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.25。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.50,对应+4.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.78%E +0.870%K +1.06%G +0.051%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Pinnacle🎯5.49I 18.21%NM 17.81%EV +4.59%E +0.837%K +1.02%G +0.047%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.88%E +0.533%K +0.654%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 00:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 08:14
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 04:35
DraftKings🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -2.46%E -0.480%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.556%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:30
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.79%E -0.750%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 09:22
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 03:29
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:19
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 10:30
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:55
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 05:44
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 21:55
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:24
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:17
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:29
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 05:39
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 05:44
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 07:00
GTbets🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -7.22%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 02:50
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 03:30
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 03:30
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Betsson🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:30
NordicBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 03:29
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 03:30
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:40
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.27%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 04:25
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.17%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
ProphetX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%4.3%2026-04-11 11:30