La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 19.05%5.25momio equitativo
EV +4.78%
Ventaja +0.870%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%19.12%18.96%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.975.005.5022.73%20.14%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 80.95%1.24momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -3.09%
Kelly -19.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.99%80.88%81.04%82.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.54%85.47%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.78%E +0.870%K +1.06%G +0.051% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.81%EV +4.59%E +0.837%K +1.02%G +0.047% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.88%E +0.533%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 00:20 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Bovada | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 08:14 |
| theScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| DraftKings | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -2.46%E -0.480%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.556%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.79%E -0.750%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 09:22 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 03:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| ReBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 05:44 |
| Bally Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 21:55 |
| BetUS | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 11:17 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 05:39 |
| Fliff | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 05:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| GTbets | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -7.22%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 02:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 03:30 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 03:30 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 16:30 |
| Betsson | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 03:29 |
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 03:30 |
| TAB | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.27%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.17%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| ProphetX | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Novig | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |