مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

البداية: 2026-04-11 11:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexander Zverev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.05%5.25السعر العادل
EV +4.78%
الأفضلية +0.870%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.051%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.29%19.12%18.96%21.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.975.005.5022.73%20.14%20.00%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jannik Sinner (الضيف)

التنبؤ 80.95%1.24السعر العادل
EV -3.67%
الأفضلية -3.09%
Kelly -19.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.99%80.88%81.04%82.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.54%85.47%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.78%E +0.870%K +1.06%G +0.051%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Pinnacle5.49I 18.21%NM 17.81%EV +4.59%E +0.837%K +1.02%G +0.047%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.88%E +0.533%K +0.654%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 00:20
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 08:14
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 08:35
LowVig.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 04:35
DraftKings5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -2.46%E -0.480%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.556%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:30
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.79%E -0.750%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 09:22
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 03:29
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:19
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 10:30
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:55
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:55
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:14
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 05:44
Bally Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 21:55
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 21:55
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:24
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:17
NetBet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:29
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 05:39
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:25
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 07:00
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 05:44
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 07:00
GTbets4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -7.22%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 18:55
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 02:50
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:19
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 03:30
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 03:30
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Betsson4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:30
NordicBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:29
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 09:00
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 03:29
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 03:30
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:40
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.27%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 04:25
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.17%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
ProphetX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%4.3%2026-04-11 11:30