StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

Matchstart: 2026-04-11 11:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev (Hemma)

Prognos 19.05%5.25rättvist odds
EV +4.78%
Fördel +0.870%
Kelly +1.06%
Tillväxt +0.051%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.29%19.12%18.96%21.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.975.005.5022.73%20.14%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Borta)

Prognos 80.95%1.24rättvist odds
EV -3.67%
Fördel -3.09%
Kelly -19.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.19

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.99%80.88%81.04%82.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.54%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Zverev (Hemma): 19.05%; Jannik Sinner (Borta): 80.95%. För Alexander Zverev (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.25. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.78%E +0.870%K +1.06%G +0.051%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Pinnacle🎯5.49I 18.21%NM 17.81%EV +4.59%E +0.837%K +1.02%G +0.047%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.88%E +0.533%K +0.654%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 00:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 08:14
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 04:35
DraftKings🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -2.46%E -0.480%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.556%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:30
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.79%E -0.750%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 09:22
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 03:29
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:19
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 10:30
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:55
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 05:44
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 21:55
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 07:24
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:17
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:29
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 05:39
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 05:44
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 07:00
GTbets🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -7.22%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 02:50
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 03:30
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 03:30
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Betsson🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:30
NordicBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 03:29
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 03:30
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:40
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.27%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 04:25
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.17%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
ProphetX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%4.3%2026-04-11 11:30