La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexander Zverev (Casa)
Previsione 19.05%5.25quota equa
EV +4.78%
Vantaggio +0.870%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.051%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.29%19.12%18.96%21.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.975.005.5022.73%20.14%20.00%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)
Previsione 80.95%1.24quota equa
EV -3.67%
Vantaggio -3.09%
Kelly -19.32%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.99%80.88%81.04%82.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.54%85.47%84.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.78%E +0.870%K +1.06%G +0.051% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.81%EV +4.59%E +0.837%K +1.02%G +0.047% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.88%E +0.533%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 00:20 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Bovada | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 08:14 |
| theScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.021%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.88%E -0.366%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| DraftKings | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -2.46%E -0.480%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.556%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.79%E -0.750%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 09:22 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 03:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| ReBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 05:44 |
| Bally Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 21:55 |
| BetUS | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 07:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 11:17 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.74%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 05:39 |
| Fliff | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 05:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.65%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 07:00 |
| GTbets | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -7.22%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 02:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.60%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 03:30 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 03:30 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 16:30 |
| Betsson | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 03:29 |
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 03:30 |
| TAB | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.10%E -5.26%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.27%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.17%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| ProphetX | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Novig | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.03% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |