Szkoła Kursów

Valentin Royer v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Początek: 2026-03-20 14:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Valentin Royer (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 52.29%1.91kurs godziwy
EV -0.646%
Przewaga -0.340%
Kelly -0.718%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.06%52.26%52.22%54.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.741.831.831.9057.47%54.77%54.64%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Goście)

Prognoza 47.71%2.10kurs godziwy
EV -1.24%
Przewaga -0.601%
Kelly -1.16%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.07

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.91%47.74%47.78%48.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.911.971.972.0752.36%50.78%50.76%48.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -0.646%E -0.340%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 14:09
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 14:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:10
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 14:09
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 14:10
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -1.24%E -0.601%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 14:05
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:09
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:09
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:10
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:10
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.44%E -4.21%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.49%E -4.85%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 13:58
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 14:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 14:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:10
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.0%2026-03-20 14:20
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-20 14:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-03-20 14:15