La scuola delle quote

Valentin Royer v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Inizio: 2026-03-20 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Valentin Royer (Casa)

Previsione 52.29%1.91quota equa
EV -0.646%
Vantaggio -0.340%
Kelly -0.718%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.06%52.26%52.22%54.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.831.831.9057.47%54.77%54.64%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.71%2.10quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.601%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.91%47.74%47.78%48.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.911.971.972.0752.36%50.78%50.76%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -0.646%E -0.340%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 14:09
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 14:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:10
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 14:09
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 14:10
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -1.24%E -0.601%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 14:05
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:09
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:09
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:10
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:10
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.44%E -4.21%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.49%E -4.85%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 13:58
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 14:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 14:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:10
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.0%2026-03-20 14:20
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-20 14:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-03-20 14:15