L’École des cotes

Valentin Royer v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Valentin Royer (Local)

Prévision 52.29%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.646%
Avantage -0.340%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.06%52.26%52.22%54.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.831.831.9057.47%54.77%54.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.71%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.601%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.91%47.74%47.78%48.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.971.972.0752.36%50.78%50.76%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -0.646%E -0.340%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 14:09
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:14
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.45%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:15
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 14:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:10
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 14:09
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 14:10
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -1.24%E -0.601%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 14:05
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:09
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:09
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:10
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:09
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 14:10
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.26%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.44%E -4.21%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.49%E -4.85%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 13:58
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 14:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.01%E -5.18%K -12.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-20 14:10
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.0%2026-03-20 14:20
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-20 14:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-03-20 14:15