Language:English
Tommy Paul v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 79.67%1.26fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -8.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.49%79.78%79.52%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.181.2387.72%84.30%84.75%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 20.33%4.92fair odd
EV +11.82%
Edge +2.15%
Kelly +2.63%
Growth +0.310%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%20.22%20.48%22.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.604.575.5023.81%21.74%21.88%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 79.67%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 20.33%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.92. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.38%E -7.29%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.82%E +2.15%K +2.63%G +0.310% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.12%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.88%EV +3.07%E +0.606%K +0.755%G +0.023% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.382%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.41%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -2.41%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.45%E -0.946%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.38%E -7.29%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -5.46%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -7.09%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.60%E -2.97%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.60%E -2.97%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 19:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -11.56%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.56%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.58%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.58%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -13.19%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -13.19%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 2.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 2.6% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |