Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul v Adrian Mannarino

Início: 2026-03-20 20:03 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 79.67%1.26odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -8.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.49%79.78%79.52%82.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.191.181.2387.72%84.30%84.75%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)

Previsão 20.33%4.92odd justa
EV +11.82%
Vantagem +2.15%
Kelly +2.63%
Crescimento +0.310%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.29%20.22%20.48%22.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.604.575.5023.81%21.74%21.88%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tommy Paul (Local): 79.67%; Adrian Mannarino (Visitante): 20.33%. Para Adrian Mannarino (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.92. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.82%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.38%E -7.29%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.82%E +2.15%K +2.63%G +0.310%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.12%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.88%EV +3.07%E +0.606%K +0.755%G +0.023%4.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007%5.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007%5.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007%7.7%2026-03-20 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007%7.7%2026-03-20 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.382%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 20:00
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.41%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:59
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -2.41%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:59
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 19:58
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.45%E -0.946%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 19:57
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.38%E -7.29%K -55.87%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -5.46%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -7.09%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 20:00
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 19:58
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.60%E -2.97%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 19:53
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:59
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 19:57
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.60%E -2.97%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 19:53
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -11.56%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:57
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.56%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 19:53
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.58%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.58%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -13.19%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -13.19%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:58
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 19:57
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-20 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-03-20 20:00
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.9%2026-03-20 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%2.3%2026-03-20 20:00
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-03-20 20:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%3.4%2026-03-20 20:00