La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 79.67%1.26momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -8.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.49%79.78%79.52%82.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.191.181.2387.72%84.30%84.75%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 20.33%4.92momio equitativo
EV +11.82%
Ventaja +2.15%
Kelly +2.63%
Crecimiento +0.310%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%20.22%20.48%22.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.604.575.5023.81%21.74%21.88%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.38%E -7.29%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.82%E +2.15%K +2.63%G +0.310% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.12%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.88%EV +3.07%E +0.606%K +0.755%G +0.023% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.65%E +0.330%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.382%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.41%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Fliff | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -2.41%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.43%E -0.722%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.45%E -0.946%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -8.38%E -7.29%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -5.46%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| betPARX | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.48%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -7.09%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.60%E -2.97%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.79%E -5.80%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.51%E -1.89%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.60%E -2.97%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 19:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.55%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -11.56%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -11.56%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.58%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.99%E -5.08%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.58%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -13.19%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.01%E -1.63%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -13.19%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.80%E -2.30%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 19:57 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.40%E -3.66%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.18%E -8.05%K -65.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.61%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 2.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Novig | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 2.6% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |