Language:English
Terence Atmane v Frances Tiafoe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Terence Atmane (Local)
Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%34.28%34.37%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.803.0038.17%35.79%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visit)
Prediction 65.66%1.52fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -5.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%65.72%65.63%67.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.78%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 34.34%; Frances Tiafoe (Visit): 65.66%. For Terence Atmane (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +3.03%E +1.01%K +1.52%G +0.046% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.747%E -0.259%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.78%E -0.622%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 22:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 21:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 21:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 20:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04% | 2.2% | 2026-03-24 22:10 |