Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane v Frances Tiafoe

Início: 2026-03-24 22:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Previsão 34.34%2.91odd justa
EV +3.03%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.13%34.28%34.37%35.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.792.803.0038.17%35.79%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 65.66%1.52odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -5.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.53%65.72%65.63%67.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.78%69.93%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Terence Atmane (Local): 34.34%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 65.66%. Para Terence Atmane (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.91. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +3.03%E +1.01%K +1.52%G +0.046%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:09
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.747%E -0.259%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.78%E -0.622%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-24 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 20:40
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 21:34
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-24 22:04
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 22:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 20:20
SportsBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:35
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:00
GTbets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 21:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 21:50
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 20:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 20:44
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 20:35
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:09
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 22:09
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:00
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:00
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 20:39
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 22:00
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 22:09
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 21:59
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:09
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-03-24 22:10
Novig2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%2.2%2026-03-24 22:10