La escuela de los momios

Terence Atmane v Frances Tiafoe

Inicio: 2026-03-24 22:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Predicción 34.34%2.91momio equitativo
EV +3.03%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.13%34.28%34.37%35.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.792.803.0038.17%35.79%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Predicción 65.66%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -5.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.53%65.72%65.63%67.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.78%69.93%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +3.03%E +1.01%K +1.52%G +0.046%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:09
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:54
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:54
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.747%E -0.259%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:10
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.78%E -0.622%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 21:59
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-24 22:00
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 20:45
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 20:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 21:34
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 22:00
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 22:09
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-24 22:04
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 22:09
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 20:20
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:35
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:00
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 21:44
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 21:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 21:50
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 20:44
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 20:44
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 20:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:09
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 22:09
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 21:30
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 22:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:00
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:00
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 20:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 22:00
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 22:09
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 21:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:09
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-03-24 22:10
Novig2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%2.2%2026-03-24 22:10