L’École des cotes

Terence Atmane v Frances Tiafoe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-24 22:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prévision 34.34%2.91cote équitable
EV +3.03%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.13%34.28%34.37%35.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.792.803.0038.17%35.79%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.66%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -5.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.53%65.72%65.63%67.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.78%69.93%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +3.03%E +1.01%K +1.52%G +0.046%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:09
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:54
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.404%E -0.139%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:54
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.747%E -0.259%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:10
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.78%E -0.622%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:05
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:04
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 21:59
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-24 22:00
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 20:45
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 20:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 21:34
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 22:00
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 22:09
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.42%E -5.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-24 22:04
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 22:09
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 20:20
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:35
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:00
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.87%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 21:44
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 21:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 21:50
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 20:44
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 20:44
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 20:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:09
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 22:09
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 21:30
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 22:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:00
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:00
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 20:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 22:00
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.08%E -5.77%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 22:09
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 21:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:09
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-24 22:10
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-03-24 22:10
Novig2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%2.2%2026-03-24 22:10