Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 62.80%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 37.20%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.90%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -16.48%E -12.39%K -49.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +20.90%E +6.43%K +9.29%G +1.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 14:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -13.96%E -10.19%K -37.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -17.10%E -12.96%K -53.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +11.97%E +3.98%K +5.96%G +0.713% | 2.7% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -12.71%E -9.14%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -10.82%E -7.62%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +9.00%E +3.07%K +4.66%G +0.419% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +7.88%E +2.72%K +4.15%G +0.327% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +7.51%E +2.60%K +3.97%G +0.298% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +6.02%E +2.11%K +3.25%G +0.196% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 14:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +4.16%E +1.49%K +2.31%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +2.30%E +0.836%K +1.31%G +0.030% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 14:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +1.56%E +0.570%K +0.899%G +0.014% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.28%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.00%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.148%E -0.093%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +3.62%E +2.19%K +5.57%G +0.202% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +1.74%E +1.07%K +2.80%G +0.049% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +1.11%E +0.688%K +1.82%G +0.020% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -18.16%E -8.25%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |