La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Terence Atmane v Daniel Altmaier
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Terence Atmane (Local)
Predicción 62.80%1.59momio equitativo
EV +3.62%
Ventaja +2.19%
Kelly +5.57%
Crecimiento +0.202%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%62.88%61.93%70.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.491.521.6575.76%66.91%65.57%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Predicción 37.20%2.69momio equitativo
EV +20.90%
Ventaja +6.43%
Kelly +9.29%
Crecimiento +1.94%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.04%37.12%38.07%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.582.483.2545.45%38.72%40.32%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -16.48%E -12.39%K -49.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +20.90%E +6.43%K +9.29%G +1.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 14:39 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -13.96%E -10.19%K -37.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -17.10%E -12.96%K -53.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +11.97%E +3.98%K +5.96%G +0.713% | 2.7% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -12.71%E -9.14%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -10.82%E -7.62%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +9.00%E +3.07%K +4.66%G +0.419% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +7.88%E +2.72%K +4.15%G +0.327% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +7.51%E +2.60%K +3.97%G +0.298% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 14:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +6.02%E +2.11%K +3.25%G +0.196% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 14:38 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +4.16%E +1.49%K +2.31%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +2.30%E +0.836%K +1.31%G +0.030% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 14:28 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +1.56%E +0.570%K +0.899%G +0.014% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.28%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.00%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.148%E -0.093%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +3.62%E +2.19%K +5.57%G +0.202% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +1.74%E +1.07%K +2.80%G +0.049% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +1.11%E +0.688%K +1.82%G +0.020% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -18.16%E -8.25%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Novig | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |