La scuola delle quote

Terence Atmane v Daniel Altmaier

Inizio: 2026-03-20 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Terence Atmane (Casa)

Previsione 62.80%1.59quota equa
EV +3.62%
Vantaggio +2.19%
Kelly +5.57%
Crescita +0.202%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%62.88%61.93%70.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.491.521.6575.76%66.91%65.57%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.20%2.69quota equa
EV +20.90%
Vantaggio +6.43%
Kelly +9.29%
Crescita +1.94%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.04%37.12%38.07%42.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.582.483.2545.45%38.72%40.32%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -16.48%E -12.39%K -49.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +20.90%E +6.43%K +9.29%G +1.94%6.0%2026-03-20 14:39
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -13.96%E -10.19%K -37.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37%4.7%2026-03-20 14:40
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -17.10%E -12.96%K -53.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37%7.5%2026-03-20 14:40
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +11.97%E +3.98%K +5.96%G +0.713%2.7%2026-03-20 14:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673%4.8%2026-03-20 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -12.71%E -9.14%K -32.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -10.82%E -7.62%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +9.00%E +3.07%K +4.66%G +0.419%4.6%2026-03-20 14:40
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387%4.2%2026-03-20 14:30
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387%5.2%2026-03-20 14:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +7.88%E +2.72%K +4.15%G +0.327%5.9%2026-03-20 14:30
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +7.51%E +2.60%K +3.97%G +0.298%5.5%2026-03-20 14:34
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +6.02%E +2.11%K +3.25%G +0.196%6.0%2026-03-20 14:38
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +4.16%E +1.49%K +2.31%G +0.096%5.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +2.30%E +0.836%K +1.31%G +0.030%7.8%2026-03-20 14:28
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +1.56%E +0.570%K +0.899%G +0.014%5.6%2026-03-20 14:44
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 14:44
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.28%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.00%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 14:44
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:45
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:45
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:45
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 14:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 14:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.148%E -0.093%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 14:45
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +3.62%E +2.19%K +5.57%G +0.202%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +1.74%E +1.07%K +2.80%G +0.049%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +1.11%E +0.688%K +1.82%G +0.020%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -18.16%E -8.25%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-20 14:45
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-03-20 14:45
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%5.4%2026-03-20 14:44