L’École des cotes

Terence Atmane v Daniel Altmaier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prévision 62.80%1.59cote équitable
EV +3.62%
Avantage +2.19%
Kelly +5.57%
Croissance +0.202%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%62.88%61.93%70.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.491.521.6575.76%66.91%65.57%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.20%2.69cote équitable
EV +20.90%
Avantage +6.43%
Kelly +9.29%
Croissance +1.94%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.04%37.12%38.07%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.582.483.2545.45%38.72%40.32%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -16.48%E -12.39%K -49.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +20.90%E +6.43%K +9.29%G +1.94%6.0%2026-03-20 14:39
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -13.96%E -10.19%K -37.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37%4.7%2026-03-20 14:40
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -17.10%E -12.96%K -53.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +17.18%E +5.45%K +7.99%G +1.37%7.5%2026-03-20 14:40
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +11.97%E +3.98%K +5.96%G +0.713%2.7%2026-03-20 14:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673%4.8%2026-03-20 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -12.71%E -9.14%K -32.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +11.60%E +3.87%K +5.80%G +0.673%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -10.82%E -7.62%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +9.00%E +3.07%K +4.66%G +0.419%4.6%2026-03-20 14:40
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387%4.2%2026-03-20 14:30
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +8.62%E +2.95%K +4.49%G +0.387%5.2%2026-03-20 14:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +7.88%E +2.72%K +4.15%G +0.327%5.9%2026-03-20 14:30
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +7.51%E +2.60%K +3.97%G +0.298%5.5%2026-03-20 14:34
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -11.45%E -8.12%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +6.02%E +2.11%K +3.25%G +0.196%6.0%2026-03-20 14:38
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -10.20%E -7.13%K -23.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +4.16%E +1.49%K +2.31%G +0.096%5.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -12.08%E -8.63%K -30.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +2.30%E +0.836%K +1.31%G +0.030%7.8%2026-03-20 14:28
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.87%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +1.56%E +0.570%K +0.899%G +0.014%5.6%2026-03-20 14:44
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.57%E -6.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.42%E -0.536%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 14:44
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.28%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.00%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 14:44
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:45
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:45
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.66%E -1.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:45
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.29%E -2.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:45
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -10.72%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 14:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.46%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -12.58%E -5.35%K -9.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 14:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.148%E -0.093%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 14:45
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -5.17%E -3.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -14.44%E -6.28%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 14:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +3.62%E +2.19%K +5.57%G +0.202%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +1.74%E +1.07%K +2.80%G +0.049%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -16.30%E -7.24%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +1.11%E +0.688%K +1.82%G +0.020%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -18.16%E -8.25%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-20 14:45
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-03-20 14:45
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%5.4%2026-03-20 14:44