Language:English
Reilly Opelka v Taylor Fritz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reilly Opelka (Local)
Prediction 33.76%2.96fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.428%
Kelly +0.641%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.76%33.96%35.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.853.0037.74%35.34%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Fritz (Visit)
Prediction 66.24%1.51fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.32%66.24%66.04%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.431.421.4971.94%70.11%70.42%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reilly Opelka (Local): 33.76%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 66.24%. For Reilly Opelka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.641%G +0.008% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.608%E +0.204%K +0.307%G +0.002% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.93%E -5.70%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 16:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -9.86%E -3.69%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |