La scuola delle quote

Reilly Opelka v Taylor Fritz

Inizio: 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Reilly Opelka (Casa)

Previsione 33.76%2.96quota equa
EV +1.28%
Vantaggio +0.428%
Kelly +0.641%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.82%33.76%33.96%35.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.832.853.0037.74%35.34%35.09%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Taylor Fritz (Trasferta)

Previsione 66.24%1.51quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.32%66.24%66.04%68.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.431.421.4971.94%70.11%70.42%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.641%G +0.008%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 09:20
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.608%E +0.204%K +0.307%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:30
SportsBet2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 15:30
DraftKings2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.93%E -5.70%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:25
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 14:55
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 14:54
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:04
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:04
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:04
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:00
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:00
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:19
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:44
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:44
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 15:29
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:19
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:14
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:15
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:13
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:13
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:15
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:55
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:05
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:35
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:04
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:20
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:20
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:25
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:14
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -9.86%E -3.69%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 10:59
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 17:25
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-03-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-22 17:25
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-03-22 17:20
Novig3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%1.6%2026-03-22 17:25
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%1.8%2026-03-22 17:20