L’École des cotes

Reilly Opelka v Taylor Fritz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reilly Opelka (Local)

Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.428%
Kelly +0.641%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%33.76%33.96%35.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.832.853.0037.74%35.34%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.24%1.51cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.32%66.24%66.04%68.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.431.421.4971.94%70.11%70.42%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.641%G +0.008%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 09:20
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.608%E +0.204%K +0.307%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:30
SportsBet2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 15:30
DraftKings2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.93%E -5.70%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:25
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 14:55
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 14:54
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:04
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:04
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:04
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:00
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:00
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:05
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:19
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:44
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 08:44
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 15:29
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:19
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:14
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:15
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:13
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:13
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:15
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:55
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:05
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:35
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:04
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:20
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:20
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:25
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:14
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -9.86%E -3.69%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 10:59
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 17:25
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-03-22 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-22 17:25
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-03-22 17:20
Novig3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%1.6%2026-03-22 17:25
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%1.8%2026-03-22 17:20