Idioma:Español
Reilly Opelka v Taylor Fritz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Reilly Opelka (Local)
Predicción 33.76%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.428%
Kelly +0.641%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%33.76%33.96%35.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.832.853.0037.74%35.34%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Taylor Fritz (Visitante)
Predicción 66.24%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.32%66.24%66.04%68.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.431.421.4971.94%70.11%70.42%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Reilly Opelka (Local): 33.76%; Taylor Fritz (Visitante): 66.24%. Para Reilly Opelka (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.28%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.641%G +0.008% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.608%E +0.204%K +0.307%G +0.002% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV +0.270%E +0.091%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.93%E -5.70%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 16:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.48%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -9.86%E -3.69%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |