默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rafael Jodar v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

开赛时间: 2026-03-22 17:50 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rafael Jodar (主队)

预测 55.19%1.81公平赔率
EV -2.31%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -3.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
53.95%55.37%55.19%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (客队)

预测 44.81%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.648%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%44.63%44.81%46.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.142.142.2050.00%46.69%46.73%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rafael Jodar (主队):55.19%;Tomas Martin Etcheverry (客队):44.81%。 对于“Tomas Martin Etcheverry (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.23。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.20,期望值为-1.43%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.35%E -3.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:15
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:31
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.46%E -2.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:14
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:20
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:12
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:35
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-03-22 17:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-03-22 17:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-03-22 17:45