La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 55.19%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%55.37%55.19%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)
Predicción 44.81%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.648%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.63%44.81%46.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.142.2050.00%46.69%46.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 17:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.35%E -3.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:31 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.46%E -2.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:12 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 17:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 17:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 17:45 |