مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rafael Jodar v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

البداية: 2026-03-22 17:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rafael Jodar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.19%1.81السعر العادل
EV -2.31%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -3.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.95%55.37%55.19%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.81%2.23السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -0.648%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%44.63%44.81%46.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.142.2050.00%46.69%46.73%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:45
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:14
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.35%E -3.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 17:15
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:14
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:31
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.46%E -2.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 17:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:14
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:20
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:12
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:14
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:35
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-03-22 17:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-03-22 17:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-03-22 17:45