La scuola delle quote

Rafael Jodar v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Inizio: 2026-03-22 17:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Casa)

Previsione 55.19%1.81quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%55.37%55.19%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.81%2.23quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.648%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%44.63%44.81%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.142.142.2050.00%46.69%46.73%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:45
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:14
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.35%E -3.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 17:15
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:14
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:31
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.46%E -2.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 17:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:14
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:20
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:12
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:14
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:35
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-03-22 17:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-03-22 17:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-03-22 17:45