L’École des cotes

Rafael Jodar v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Prévision 55.19%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.37%55.19%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.63%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.81%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.63%44.81%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.142.2050.00%46.69%46.73%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:15
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:45
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:14
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.35%E -3.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 17:15
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:14
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:15
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:14
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:31
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.46%E -2.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 17:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:14
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:20
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:12
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:14
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:14
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-22 17:35
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-03-22 17:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-03-22 17:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-03-22 17:45