Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.99
assuming max odds 1.14
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quentin Halys (Local): 15.56%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 84.44%. For Quentin Halys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.43. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.79%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81%EV +8.79%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.129% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.95I 14.39%NM 14.09%EV +8.16%E +1.17%K +1.37%G +0.112% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.91%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +5.36%E +0.792%K +0.930%G +0.050% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.70%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 01:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -1.95%E -0.310%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.18%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -11.29%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.85%E -2.29%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 01:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.59% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |